Projection Accuracy

Projection Accuracy

Projection-only settlement and accuracy metrics for active NHL 1P and MLB F5 model families.

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Projection Families

Family controls scope both settlement rows and the accuracy metrics below.

PROJECTION_ONLY

Directional Record

0-0

Weak directions excluded

Directional Hit Rate

N/A

Wins / wins plus losses

MAE (runs/goals)

N/A

Mean absolute projection error

Bias (proj - actual)

N/A

Signed projection error

Brier Score

N/A

Lower is better for probabilities

Projection Settlement

Settled projection-only cards graded against actual game outcomes.

PENDING - awaiting 25 graded directional rows

Confidence
No settled projection records yet. Records appear here after games complete and actuals are ingested.

Accuracy Breakdown

Metric rows recalculate from the selected projection family.

0 accuracy rows

No settled projection records match this family.

Confidence Bands

No confidence-band accuracy rows for this family.